Fuzzy Party Math: Prepare For Disappointment

So as you know, the Super Bowl is coming up, and you’ve got to get ready for that party. Why did we assume you are having a party? Because according to Visa, you probably are.

The credit card company took a national survey as well as market-specific ones, and reported that 62 percent of respondents nationwide said they were planning on throwing a Super Bowl party. On average, those people planned to spend $172 each on their bashes.

Locally, a touch fewer San Francisco respondents — 57 percent — planned on hosting, but they intended to spend a little more — $192.

Now, let’s think about this: If you have 100 people, and 62 of them invite at least one of them over for a Superbowl party, and only one goes to each party, then that still leaves 24 hosts without a guest. Sad!

Now, obviously there’s a discrepancy between those surveyed and the actual population. A big one. visa gives a margin of error of 3.9 percent, nationally, and 4.9 percent by region. That still leaves just a little over half the population of the Bay Area hosting, on the outside.

Naturally, some people are going to go to a bar to watch the game, so perhaps we can pare it down to an even half. But then again, plenty of people aren’t planning on watching the game at all, and we’re betting a lot of hosts are going to get more than one guest at their parties, thus tipping the balance back toward a shortage of guests to hosts. That is, of course, if you believe these surveys.

So, Visa, are you planning on taking another survey on Feb. 2, to find out who got to sit alone in their apartment, gorging on nearly $200 worth of snacks and beer? Well, you should. Call it the 200 Cigarettes survey. Aww.

Visa: Almost Two-Thirds of Americans Surveyed Will Host Super Bowl Party; Average Will Spend $172 [PR Newswire]
200 Cigarettes [IMDb]

Fuzzy Party Math: Prepare For Disappointment